This series will evaluate one team per day, starting on January 23, 2013 and ending on February 22, 2013 (the first game of spring training). It is based on last season's performance, offseason changes since and the author's outlook for the team in 2013. Please keep in mind that rosters can, and will, change before Opening Day. We started in the AL East and now go to the NL side, starting in the East and going in alphabetical order. Next up, the Philadelphia Phillies.
LHP John Lannan, RHP Chad Durbin, RHP Rodrigo Lopez, RHP Mike Adams, RHP Juan Cruz, RHP Aaron Cook, OF Ben Revere, OF Delmon Young, 3B Michael Young
RHP Josh Lindblom, RHP Jose Contreras, RHP Vance Worley, OF Juan Pierre, OF Nate Schierholtz, 1B Ty Wigginton, 3B Placido Polanco, C Brian Schneider
It's hard to even call the 2012 Phillies a disappointment, given the ridiculous list of injuries they had to endure. The pitching staff was banged up, Chase Utley and Ryan Howard missed time, and Carlos Ruiz was out for the stretch run.
And this is exactly why the Phillies are primed for a rebound in 2013. Not only do they get a presumably healthy year from Utley and Howard, but they should have the big three pitchers back for a lot longer than they are used to.
General Manager Ruben Amaro made a few very shrewd moves in the offseason to upgrade at third base and in the outfield. Instead of the punch-less trio of outfielders they had after the trade deadline last season, they can now rely on the powerful bat of Young in right field and the speed and defense combination of Revere in center.
Young had been "declining" in Arlington last year, but he's only one season removed from hitting .338 and still boasts well over 2,000 career hits. Young gives a professional at-bat every time and plays fundamentally sound at multiple positions. I think this will turn out to be a key pick-up for Philly, and there are a few teams who will regret not making a viable offer to Texas.
With the most important, veteran players back healthy in 2013, plus a few smart pick-ups in the fold (lest we forget about the very good John Lannan, who has been buried behind All-Star talent in Washington), I would not be surprised to see Philadelphia approach 90 wins again.
The only way that the Phillies regress is if they get bit by the injury bug again. Roy Halladay and Cliff Lee are both getting on in years, so while it would be surprising to see them get hurt, it's always possible. And we've seen Howard and Utley both struggle with various ailments in recent years.
Add in the fact that Delmon Young, Michael Young and Jimmy Rollins are getting on in years, and Philadelphia is really relying on a largely aging roster. The flip side is even more suspect -- how will Dominic Brown, John Mayberry, Jr. and Freddy Galvis perform, especially if more responsibility falls to them in the case of injury?
How will Delmon Young, Michael Young, Revere and Lannan fit in on a team that's been a powerful unit weighed down by expectations for years now? While I don't necessarily foresee team chemistry as an issue, I do expect the catcher's position to be suspect.
With Carlos Ruiz suspended for the first month or so of 2013, the Phils shouldn't expect much offensive production from that position for a while. And when Ruiz does return, can he repeat last year's performance? Even if he comes remotely close, the Phillies are in business.
Honestly, I'm hard-pressed to believe the Phillies will dip below .500 this season. I'm more inclined to see a major improvement in wins. Approaching 90 wins is a legitimate possibility with the healthy return of all three ace pitchers and the big bats of Utley and Howard.
Adding Michael Young, Delmon Young, Revere and Lannan were all fantastic moves by Amaro. I would be shocked to see Michael Young's numbers not go up, and Delmon Young will be a good pick-up even if he has an average year. Anything is an upgrade over Schierholtz.
Lannan gives the rotation a little added punch, and Revere will replace Shane Victorino in the outfield flawlessly. You have to like the pitching in Philly, and the potential stalwart of a lineup. A lot of the power will hinge on whether Delmon Young can recover from an ankle injury and get used to playing right field again after a six-year hiatus.
The main worry aside from health for me, is whether or not the veteran hitters who have thrived for so long, will continue to do so. Time is running out for one of the older teams in the league, but it's the opinion of this writer that the Phillies get right back into the Wild Card hunt in 2013, and reach the high 80's in wins. I don't think they overtake Atlanta or Washington, but they will be surprisingly close.
For a while there, it looked like Amaro would go after Vernon Wells and Scott Hairston to upgrade the outfield. Luckily for Phillies fans, they scored with Revere and Young instead. I don't expect the Phillies to make any other moves before the season begins.
If they were to look into anyone, I'd hope it would be in the bullpen, where they were in the lower half of the statistical rankings in the National League in 2012. Adding Durbin, Adams, and Cook to that squad will help somewhat, but they could use another lefty arm or two.
Via: [Live Football] Club Sport Emelec - CA Peñarol - Copa Libertadores
